Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 105.566514 120.629840 137.890194 159.312832 185.442435 216.611947 2.571184e+02
2025-04-13 83.900329 102.605014 126.160422 158.664261 203.451238 264.748081 3.583126e+02
2025-04-20 74.309217 95.226370 123.380359 165.387442 229.014399 326.533427 4.982182e+02
2025-04-27 69.237268 92.228824 124.959188 177.242929 263.564298 411.039938 7.116917e+02
2025-05-04 62.071259 84.941950 118.814707 175.673124 275.836657 462.224952 8.919606e+02
2025-05-11 57.146647 80.114623 115.373788 177.343747 293.485368 528.742940 1.146245e+03
2025-05-18 52.238272 74.637981 110.018465 174.561402 301.917043 579.469069 1.399625e+03
2025-05-25 48.936840 71.249860 107.511681 176.218569 319.268660 656.643623 1.798481e+03
2025-06-01 45.743465 67.668048 104.173344 175.650264 331.720549 727.460397 2.256600e+03
2025-06-08 42.650487 63.936383 100.108764 172.946532 338.718406 787.335862 2.754424e+03
2025-06-15 41.270160 62.928510 100.715224 179.648075 369.543057 932.011739 3.910120e+03
2025-06-22 38.220152 58.786264 95.155876 172.594346 364.464416 961.616041 4.493579e+03
2025-06-29 36.185234 56.442005 93.059440 173.511502 382.913772 1092.670396 6.246671e+03
2025-07-06 34.125172 53.904597 90.377374 172.857208 397.704997 1225.983256 8.725527e+03
2025-07-13 33.151454 53.223124 91.200772 180.407123 439.254529 1511.689020 1.535237e+04
2025-07-20 32.779470 53.598918 94.164819 193.746402 505.136522 2003.399737 3.554852e+04
2025-07-27 31.075709 51.305185 91.339551 191.977991 519.958168 2241.934627 5.949220e+04
2025-08-03 29.834890 49.795154 90.000009 193.860001 549.139925 2624.699932 1.278634e+05
2025-08-10 28.313002 47.619138 86.996233 190.726007 558.349252 2888.276182 2.537000e+05
2025-08-17 27.290428 46.350965 85.856043 192.592371 588.969485 3399.705287 9.198489e+05
2025-08-24 26.172903 44.810327 83.951237 191.952243 609.223235 3878.595777 5.523577e+06
2025-08-31 24.983035 43.043339 81.369140 188.907978 617.923869 4274.503442 1.496580e+08
2025-09-07 24.547937 42.785600 82.238587 196.457098 680.823779 5573.154403 NaN